Point 169 in the category of MODALITY is defined as:
‘(much) more/less’ to modify ‘likely’ in a comparison.
There is overlap with point 63 in ADVERB phrases: types and meanings at C1.
degree adverbs (‘slightly’, ‘a bit’, ‘much‘) to modify comparatives
A cluster search on iWeb for * * less|more likely * *:
1 , THE MORE LIKELY IT IS 4809
2 , THE MORE LIKELY YOU ARE 3943
3 , THE MORE LIKELY THEY ARE 2693
4 THEY ARE MORE LIKELY TO BE 2097
Asheville Citizen-Times5 ARE MUCH MORE LIKELY TO BE 1706
Education – Australian Associated Press6 IT IS MORE LIKELY TO BE 1272
7 YOU ARE MORE LIKELY TO GET 1237
8 , THE LESS LIKELY IT IS 1218
9 YOU ARE MORE LIKELY TO BE 1205
10 ARE FAR MORE LIKELY TO BE 1039
11 IT IS MORE LIKELY THAT THE 1023
12 , THE LESS LIKELY YOU ARE 1021
13 YOU ‘RE MORE LIKELY TO GET 966
14 IS MUCH MORE LIKELY TO BE 965
15 IT IS MORE LIKELY THAN NOT 884
16 AND ARE MORE LIKELY TO BE 854
17 IT ‘S MORE LIKELY TO BE 839
18 ARE ALSO MORE LIKELY TO BE 826
19 , THE MORE LIKELY YOU WILL 793
20 YOU ARE MORE LIKELY TO HAVE 793
21 YOU ‘RE MORE LIKELY TO BE 776
22 THEY ARE LESS LIKELY TO BE 764
23 THREE TIMES MORE LIKELY TO BE 722
24 , THE MORE LIKELY IT WILL 718
25 , THE LESS LIKELY THEY ARE 714
26 WOMEN ARE MORE LIKELY THAN MEN 699
27 THEY ARE MORE LIKELY TO HAVE 684
28 , ARE MORE LIKELY TO BE 622
29 PEOPLE ARE MORE LIKELY TO BE 593
30 , THE MORE LIKELY THEY WILL 592
31 ARE MUCH MORE LIKELY TO HAVE 574
32 WOMEN ARE MORE LIKELY TO BE 533
33 IS FAR MORE LIKELY TO BE 502
34 ARE ALSO MORE LIKELY TO HAVE 498
35 YOU ‘RE MORE LIKELY TO FIND 487
36 , THE MORE LIKELY WE ARE 483
37 YOU ARE MORE LIKELY TO FIND 479
38 FOUR TIMES MORE LIKELY TO BE 462
39 THEY ‘RE MORE LIKELY TO BE 453
40 YOU ‘RE MORE LIKELY TO HAVE 447
41 ARE MUCH MORE LIKELY TO GET 441
42 IT ‘S MORE LIKELY THAT THE 432
43 , THE MORE LIKELY YOU ‘LL 426
44 ARE MUCH LESS LIKELY TO BE 409
45 THREE TIMES MORE LIKELY TO HAVE 407
46 MAY BE MORE LIKELY TO HAVE 393
47 WHO ARE MORE LIKELY TO BE 386
48 WILL BE MORE LIKELY TO BE 386
49 WOMEN ARE MORE LIKELY TO HAVE 379
50 YOU ‘RE MORE LIKELY TO SEE 374
51 AND ARE LESS LIKELY TO BE 367
52 IT IS MORE LIKELY THAT YOU 362
53 MEN ARE MORE LIKELY THAN WOMEN 355
54 THEY ARE MORE LIKELY TO GET 349
55 YOU ARE LESS LIKELY TO BE 347
56 , THE MORE LIKELY THEY WERE 345
57 THAT ARE MORE LIKELY TO BE 345
58 IT IS LESS LIKELY TO BE 344
59 WOULD BE MORE LIKELY TO BE 339
60 YOU ARE MORE LIKELY TO SEE 337
61 FIVE TIMES MORE LIKELY TO BE 326
62 CHILDREN ARE MORE LIKELY TO BE 323
63 THREE TIMES MORE LIKELY TO DEVELOP 315
64 THIS IS MORE LIKELY TO BE 312
65 MAY BE MORE LIKELY TO DEVELOP 306
66 AND ARE MORE LIKELY TO HAVE 304
67 WERE ALSO MORE LIKELY TO HAVE 296
68 IT IS MORE LIKELY THAT THEY 293
69 YOU ARE LESS LIKELY TO GET 291
70 THIS IS MORE LIKELY TO HAPPEN 287
71 MEN ARE MORE LIKELY TO BE 285
72 MAY BE MORE LIKELY TO BE 283
73 ARE FAR MORE LIKELY TO HAVE 276
74 IT ‘S MORE LIKELY THAT YOU 271
75 WERE ALSO MORE LIKELY TO BE 271
76 YOU ARE MORE LIKELY TO DEVELOP 267
77 , ARE MORE LIKELY TO HAVE 264
78 , AND MORE LIKELY TO BE 262
79 FOUR TIMES MORE LIKELY TO HAVE 262
80 IT IS MORE LIKELY THAT A 258
81 PEOPLE ARE MORE LIKELY TO HAVE 256
82 YOU ARE LESS LIKELY TO HAVE 256
83 AND IS MORE LIKELY TO BE 250
84 WOMEN ARE MORE LIKELY TO DEVELOP 246
85 THIS IS MORE LIKELY TO OCCUR 244
86 WILL BE LESS LIKELY TO BE 243
87 YOU ‘RE LESS LIKELY TO BE 243
88 MAKES IT MORE LIKELY THAT THE 241
89 WERE MUCH MORE LIKELY TO BE 236
90 YOU ‘RE LESS LIKELY TO GET 236
91 WERE SIGNIFICANTLY MORE LIKELY TO HAVE 232
92 ) ARE MORE LIKELY TO BE 229
93 THEY WERE MORE LIKELY TO BE 229
94 ARE ALSO MORE LIKELY TO DEVELOP 228
95 ARE FAR LESS LIKELY TO BE 225
96 THEY ARE MORE LIKELY TO BUY 225
97 WERE SIGNIFICANTLY MORE LIKELY TO BE 222
98 THAT IS MORE LIKELY TO BE 221
99 , THE MORE LIKELY HE OR 216
100 MAKE IT MORE LIKELY THAT YOU 214